We use cookies that are needed to sign you in and to keep the site secure. We also record anonymous usage so we can see which boards get used. You can turn that off. Privacy Policy
MLB
Who runs, who you can run on, and every steal tied to the exact pitcher + catcher.
Matchups is the board you land on. Chance is the modeled probability the runner steals at least one base tonight, and the list is ranked on it. “vs His Norm” compares tonight to that runner’s own recent games rather than to the league — an elite base-stealer reads “typical for him” most nights, which is the point: it flags the nights that genuinely differ instead of repeating that he is fast. One sentence under each runner says why he is on the list. Open any row for the full picture on all three parties. The Runners, Pitchers and Catchers tabs are season leaderboards, and the Event Log lets you check an individual play rather than trusting the aggregate.
Loading steal spots…
A ranked list of the best stolen-base spots on the day’s slate, best first. Behind it sit season leaderboards for runners, catchers and pitchers, plus a log of every individual attempt. Stealing a base is a three-way contest, and the board treats it that way.
Matchups is the board you land on. Chance is the modeled probability the runner steals at least one base tonight, and the list is ranked on it. “vs His Norm” compares tonight to that runner’s own recent games rather than to the league — an elite base-stealer reads “typical for him” most nights, which is the point: it flags the nights that genuinely differ instead of repeating that he is fast. One sentence under each runner says why he is on the list. Open any row for the full picture on all three parties. The Runners, Pitchers and Catchers tabs are season leaderboards, and the Event Log lets you check an individual play rather than trusting the aggregate.
Built from per-event baserunning data joined to tracked sprint speed and catcher release times. Chance comes from a model retrained nightly on completed games, and it is shown as a whole percent because that is the resolution it actually has. Success rates are shown with attempt counts because a runner who is three for three has told you almost nothing. One known limit, stated plainly: the model prices how well a pitcher holds runners, but not how hard he is to reach base against — read the “Gets on” number for that yourself.
For stolen-base research and for anyone reading run environment on a given matchup. The battery matters as much as the runner, which is why all three sides are on the same board instead of scattered across separate ones.
Members Only
You're seeing the top 3. Sign up to unlock the full slate plus 461 more runners, daily.