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The Rundown
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Research

Bracketology

NCAAB · Men's D-I · 2025-26

The projected field by resume — seed line, in/bubble/out, quad wins, best win + worst loss. Ranks by a tunable resume model (rating base + quad-weighted resume + SOS); auto-bids aren't modeled, so a low-resume conference champ can read out even though it earns a bid.

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How to read this page

What the columns mean and how to read them
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Status separates teams that are comfortably in from those on the margin and those outside it. A seed line is a projection built on the resume to date, so it moves with results; the resume columns beside it are the reason a team sits where it does, and are the more durable thing to read.

3 in field
LockBubble· Click a team for its resume
1
Glossary — Bracketology
SeedProjected NCAA tournament seed (1–16) — what seed line the team would land on if the bracket were set today.
Seed LineOverall S-curve rank across the whole projected field (1 = the top overall seed, ~68 = last team in).
In / Bubble / OutProjected status — a lock for the field, on the cut line, or currently outside it. Auto-bids aren’t modeled, so a low-résumé conference champ can read Out even though it earns a bid.
RésuméRésumé score — the model’s overall tournament-profile rating (rating base + quad-weighted résumé + SOS); higher = stronger case.
Q1Quadrant-1 record — wins/losses vs the top tier of opponents (by rank + venue); the marquee résumé bucket.
SOSStrength of Schedule — national rank (1 = toughest), by average opponent adjusted efficiency.
Best Win / Worst LossThe highest-ranked opponent beaten and the lowest-ranked opponent lost to, with that opponent’s rank.

About NCAAB Bracketology

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The projected tournament field with the resume behind each team — seed lines, current bracket status, and where a team stands relative to the cut. It is a read of the field as it looks now, not a forecast of March.

therundown.gg · Men's college basketball · projected tournament field + resume

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