Pitchers for Sunday, September 27, 2026
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How to read this page
Reading the Table
Each row is a probable starter. The stat columns describe how he misses bats; the OPP columns describe how strikeout-prone today's opponent is.
- K% / Whiff% / CSW% / SwStr% — the pitcher's strikeout, whiff, called+swinging-strike, and swinging-strike rates for the selected window. This is the pitcher axis — how good he is at missing bats.
- OPP K-RANK / OPP K% — how often the offense he faces strikes out. In Rank, 1 = the offense that strikes out the most, out of all 30 teams, which is the softest matchup for the pitcher; the higher the number, the harder that lineup is to strike out. With Offense Stats: vs Hand picked, each offense is ranked on how it has hit pitchers who throw with the same hand as tonight's starter. A good matchup pairs a pitcher who misses bats with a lineup that misses them too.
- Lineup adj K% — the rate today's specific 1–9 is expected to strike out at against this pitcher, across the whole order. This is the opponent axis, separate from K%: read K% for the arm, this for the spot. A weak-K pitcher against a genuinely strikeout-prone lineup still reads well here. Most lineups land between 22% and 29%, so the spread is narrower than a single hitter's — which is why the word under the ring matters. Softest / Soft / Typical / Tough / Toughest is where this lineup sits against every lineup faced this season, not against the rest of tonight's card, so a night where every matchup is a hard one says so instead of handing the least bad one a first place. ● = confirmed lineup, ◐ = projected. Follows the window filter (L7/L15/L30 use a recent-form read; L60/Season use the full year).
- K Targets — how many bats in tonight's lineup are genuine strikeout targets for him, out of the whole lineup. It is a plain count, so six borderline targets and six severe ones read the same here. Lineup adj K% is the column that weighs how vulnerable each bat is, which is why it can rank five deep targets above six shallow ones. Read K Targets for how many, Lineup adj K% for how bad. Open a row to see which bats they are.
Click a Row
Click any row to expand a detail panel underneath. Click the same row again to collapse.
- Recent starts — last 3 / 5 / 10 / season starts with K / BB / ER / ERA
- vs RHH / vs LHH splits — K%, Whiff%, CSW%, SwStr% for the chosen window
- Lineup Read — the batter-by-batter version of Lineup adj K%: each hitter's tier (K Target / Lean / Average / Low K), the K% they are expected to strike out at in this matchup, the K% they run against everyone, their K pitch, and the overlap-vs-league edges (whiff / chase / putaway…). Reading the two K% columns together is the point — the gap between what a hitter normally does and what this arm should do to them is the matchup. Sortable — tap any header. K Target rows are tinted so the soft bats pop. Toggle to a Full Team view or to that team's recent games.
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Rank: 1 = the offense that strikes out the most, the softest matchup for the pitcher. The higher the number, the harder that lineup is to strike out.
PitcherK%LINEUP ADJ K%K TARGETSOPP K
Z. WheelerR2:05 PM ·vs
TB—23.4%Tough1/9—N. MartinezR2:05 PM ·@PHI—27.3%Soft3/9—
J. MisiorowskiR2:10 PM ·vs
STL—26.8%Soft2/9—A. PallanteR2:10 PM ·@MIL—26.8%Soft5/9—2:05 PMZack Wheeler(R)
Zack Wheeler(R)vs TB
—23Tough1/9—TB2:05 PMNick Martinez(R)
Nick Martinez(R)@ PHI
—27Soft3/9—PHI2:10 PMJacob Misiorowski(R)
Jacob Misiorowski(R)vs STL
—27Soft2/9—STL2:10 PMAndre Pallante(R)
Andre Pallante(R)@ MIL
—27Soft5/9—MILK%
17%20%22%26%30%
CSW%
25%27%28%30%32%
WHIFF%
19%22%25%28%31%
SWSTR%
9%11%12%14%15%
OPP K%
17%20%22%26%30%
OPP K-RANK
#30#22#15#8#1
Click any column header to sort. Click a row to open the pitcher detail.
About the MLB Pitchers board
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Every probable starting pitcher today, with how often he strikes hitters out and how easy the lineup he faces is to strike out. It reads a start as a matchup against nine specific hitters rather than as one season-long rate.
How to read it
Strikeout columns describe how often a pitcher misses bats and how that projects against the order he faces, with the per-batter read available underneath. Arsenal detail breaks a pitcher into his individual pitches — usage, velocity and results — so a fastball-heavy start against a lineup that punishes fastballs reads differently from the same pitcher’s season line. Velocity drift markers flag an arm throwing harder or softer than his own baseline.